Future Babble: Why Expert Predictions Are Next to Worthless, and You Can Do Better

Categories: Politics & Social Sciences, Science & Math

Dan Gardner draws on Philip Tetlock's research to show why expert forecasts so often fail and how to think more sensibly about an uncertain future.

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• Vinod Khosla: “2011Books-Future Babble: Mybest book of 2011. Why expert predictions are worthless & how to do better. My pitch exactly”